Preston Johnson, Joe Fortenbaugh and Fantasy’s Mike Clay offer their best bets for the clash between AFC East rivals.
Note: Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook as of Sunday evening.
New England Patriots (-9.5, 43.5) at New York Jets
Tom Brady over 24.5 completions (-110)
Clay: Brady has gone over this mark during three of his past four games, which includes a 28-completion effort against the Jets in Week 3. Brady currently ranks no lower than eighth in the league in dropbacks, pass attempts and completions. The Patriots operated a run-first offense in 2018 but are the game-scripted-adjusted No. 2 pass-heaviest offense so far this season. The Jets’ defense, meanwhile, is allowing the ninth-most pass attempts and 12th-most completions on a per-game basis in 2019. The Jets have fared well against the run and poorly against the pass this season, so expect Brady to be busy in this one against one of the league’s shakiest group of cornerbacks. He projects for 27 completions on 41 attempts.